Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.231319 0.266261 0.303833 0.347135 0.395556 0.447925 0.508739
2026-02-01 0.172188 0.218527 0.272430 0.339325 0.419648 0.512497 0.627421
2026-02-08 0.131026 0.182679 0.247411 0.333433 0.443559 0.578535 0.755033
2026-02-15 0.100655 0.153804 0.225349 0.326715 0.464326 0.642074 0.886010
2026-02-22 0.081720 0.136090 0.214284 0.331677 0.499545 0.726486 1.051064
2026-03-01 0.064799 0.117593 0.198625 0.327261 0.520459 0.792938 1.197662
2026-03-08 0.052741 0.103923 0.187461 0.327102 0.546396 0.867619 1.360939
2026-03-15 0.042314 0.090577 0.174299 0.321458 0.562626 0.928729 1.508728
2026-03-22 0.036980 0.085092 0.173046 0.334348 0.608252 1.036434 1.732154
2026-03-29 0.032492 0.080184 0.171848 0.346808 0.653860 1.146966 1.966823
2026-04-05 0.027519 0.073108 0.165415 0.348960 0.681988 1.231410 2.165969
2026-04-12 0.023108 0.066149 0.157954 0.347994 0.704141 1.307105 2.355265
2026-04-19 0.019251 0.059572 0.150307 0.345941 0.724617 1.382347 2.550350
2026-04-26 0.016096 0.053859 0.143457 0.344458 0.745804 1.460103 2.754362
2026-05-03 0.013444 0.048691 0.136852 0.342487 0.765655 1.536632 2.960675
2026-05-10 0.011110 0.043674 0.129632 0.338131 0.780227 1.604449 3.155651
2026-05-17 0.009716 0.041039 0.127655 0.344867 0.817182 1.714823 3.430662
2026-05-24 0.008081 0.037063 0.121522 0.341328 0.832730 1.786458 3.640539
2026-05-31 0.006868 0.034077 0.117391 0.341816 0.856504 1.874727 3.884691
2026-06-07 0.005654 0.030597 0.111174 0.336366 0.866922 1.937809 4.085703
2026-06-14 0.005174 0.029828 0.112595 0.350028 0.920125 2.087055 4.453638
2026-06-21 0.004725 0.029023 0.113762 0.363156 0.973110 2.238656 4.832753
2026-06-28 0.004077 0.027055 0.110951 0.365507 1.001776 2.343083 5.126945